Signal · 16 September 2026

AbstractForecasting agents increasingly combine language-model reasoning, retrieval, ensembling, and calibration, but it remains unclear when each behavior should be trusted. We study this question on ForecastBench-style binary forecasting tasks, treating the choice to retrieve, reason…

AbstractTW3Cast is a time-series forecasting system that reaches position 3 of 130 entries on the GIFT-Eval benchmark by mean MASE rank, as of 2026-09-14. The two entries above it belong to the leaderboard's agentic category, multi-step systems that use agents or language models to…

AbstractPolicy interventions propagate through public communication, institutional decisions, and stakeholder responses, yet datasets for financial multi-agent simulation rarely connect these processes to temporally aligned historical evidence. We introduce PAWS, a Policy-driven Agentic…

AbstractWe introduce the Pistis model family, comprising 27B- and 9B-parameter multimodal large language models built on Qwen3.6 and Qwen3.5, respectively, and developed through a general and scalable post-training framework. The framework first establishes a strong foundation through…

AbstractDNA sequencing pipelines, spanning quality control, alignment, variant calling, and annotation, are now reliably executed by workflow management systems that orchestrate established bioinformatics tools at scale. What remains manual is the decision layer surrounding that…

AbstractReinforcement learning (RL) is widely used to sharpen reasoning in multimodal large language models (MLLMs), yet its effect on hallucination is uneven. We trace this to two weak points in the \emph{correction chain} from reward to parameter update. At the rollout level, hard…

AbstractAgentic AI systems are increasingly adopting automated pipelines that integrate multiple tools. While prior research and benchmarks have studied about task success and task completion of these agentic systems, the research about agent to tool interaction, specifically in biology…

AbstractModern language-model agents are built around the \textit{agent loop}, where the LLM is placed in an environment exposing a set of tools, and the LLM has full control over the workflow by alternating between tool calls and observing their output. However, certain workflows…

AbstractA single locally plausible tool call can derail an otherwise successful agent trajectory. Suspicion alone does not justify intervention, because the replacement itself can introduce the very failure verification is meant to prevent. We introduce TwinCheck, an inference-time…

AbstractThe objective of this article is to provide design principles and a software architecture for enabling interaction between humans and multiple agents in simulated dynamic worlds. This connects the current era of general artificial intelligence (AI/AGI) with the proliferation of…

AbstractPeople hold diverse, sometimes conflicting values, so no single aligned model can satisfy everyone. Pluralistic alignment therefore calls for steerable models that can balance competing objectives differently. Multi-Objective Direct Preference Optimization (MODPO) does this by…

AbstractDependency conflicts in Python ecosystems arise from incompatible version constraints, missing packages, and undocumented compatibility relationships, causing many real-world code snippets to fail at execution. This paper presents PLLM+, a hybrid dependency-repair pipeline…

AbstractMedical large language models are commonly trained on mixtures of didactic data (e.g., textbooks) and clinical data (e.g., patient records), yet how these data types differentially shape model capabilities remains unclear. We address this issue with token-matched experiments…

AbstractVisual impairment affects over 2.2 billion people worldwide, yet conventional white canes cannot detect elevated hazards or provide semantic environmental context. Existing AI-assisted navigation systems typically rely on expensive hardware or cloud connectivity, limiting…

AbstractMobile river monitoring robots must interpret obstacles and water boundaries that geographic waypoints alone cannot describe. On resource constrained platforms, converting imperfect visual predictions into timely and inspectable guidance is a distinct challenge. An object label…

AbstractAI systems are becoming participants in the evaluation and use of scientific research. They encounter citation counts, download statistics and lists of popular articles developed around human readers, but the collective consequences of these signals for artificial readers remain…

AbstractInferring 3D cellular properties from 2D microscopy is difficult when a reference instrument reports only population statistics rather than labels for individual cells. Here we develop a population-supervised framework that maps single 2D red-cell images to latent biophysical…

AbstractProcess discovery rarely yields a single coherent process structure. For analysis, a common step is to cluster process variants based on structural similarity and then assign business meaning to the resulting groups. Since these partitions are not derived from the organization's…